王垣鑫：日线均线支撑上移，黄金方向面临关键抉择
周一现货黄金价格向上突破1620美元/盎司一线后大幅走高， 一度触及1673美元/盎司一线位置，但昨日金价自亚盘开始回落，欧盘进一步加大回落力度，虽立刻出现一定幅度反弹，但整体仍承压于1660美元/盎司一线下方，期间偶有低点刷新，但并未能以实体突破，以1640-1660区间震荡为主，今日亚盘区间进一步收窄至1640-1650。
美国经济或难以出现V型反弹
昨日前美联储主席伯南克表示，为减缓新冠病毒在欧美国家扩散而采取的措施会导致美国本季度经济急速下滑，而且之后短时间内不会出现大幅反弹的情况，因为居民和企业都需要时间来恢复对公共卫生状况的信心，不过这种情况会随着时间改善，美国可能不得不逐步的重启经济活动，而且之后还有可能会遇到再度放慢的阶段，但如果能遏制住疫情，那么经济将会迅速反弹。
伯南克称赞美国财政和货币当局在这场公共卫生事件冲击下应对相当好，目前采取的财政和货币政策有利于缓解金融状况，但可能需要得到财政当局的更多帮助，信贷市场已经有所改善，这代表美联储在恢复金融市场秩序方面已经取得了进展，并且与08-09年金融危机相比，现时美国银行业的状况要好得多，能够充当抵御经济疲软的堡垒。
进一步收复失地需关注日线支撑
现货黄金自1703美元/盎司一线回落的跌幅目前已经近乎完全收复，反弹高点距离前高仅30美元，虽昨日日线由于支撑没到位录得长上影线形态，但今日ma5支撑均线已经进一步上移，加之macd指标双线目前仍在金叉向上运行的过程当中，接下来金价能否在短时间内进一步向1700美元/盎司一线上方反弹，关键在于日线级别ma5均线支撑是否有效。
近期金价日内出现大幅度波动仍是常见现象，需注意做好风控保护，日内暂时先留意1640-1650区间突破情况，下方留意日线ma5均线支撑位置，上方利于1660美元/盎司一线位置压力。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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