王垣鑫：股市料将短暂进入熊市，黄金大幅回落然多心未泯
上周现货黄金价格在周初于低位拉起后，剩余时间一直保持震荡走高走势，周内直接收回2月24号-2月29号的127美元回落幅度，虽然随后价格立刻承压，但最终收盘价格基本与高点相差无几，本周开盘金价直接跳空高开上1700美元/盎司整数关口上方，但并未能有效站稳，金价连续两天回落，目前交投于1657美元/盎司一线位置。
高盛预计股市将强劲反弹
受公共卫生事件影响，加之原油价格战争全面打响，本周美国三大股指大幅下滑，创下自2008年金融危机以来的最大跌幅，美股开盘市值蒸发3万亿美元，触发1987年“黑色星期一”崩盘后设立的熔断机制，为23年来首次熔断，道指开盘后不久一度狂泻2000点，盘中一度跌至距离确认进入熊市区间仅约0.1个百分点的水平，最终标普500指数收盘较2月19日创下的历史高点下跌约19%。
金融市场遭遇“黑色星期一”，欧美股市更是“史诗般惨案”，意大利、德国、西班牙、法国和英国等多个国家的股市基准指数悉数跌进熊市，不过高盛集团的策略师们预计，股市将从2008年金融危机以来最严重的抛售中强劲反弹，但是在此之前首先还需要经历进一步的下跌过程，预计将从峰值水平下跌20%至25%。
本周金价冲高后持续回落
本周金价连续两天走低，在冲高至1700美元/盎司一线上方后，最大回落幅度一度达到62美元，更是直接跌破上周一直支撑金价收回127美元回落幅度的5日均线，虽然本周价格回落幅度较大，但从周线上看目前金价仍在ma5支撑均线上方，且macd指标双线仍在金叉过程当中，只要价格仍在ma5支撑均线上方，证明趋势仍在多方掌控当中，短时间内看金价出头恐怕还为时过早，现阶段金价支撑关注重点将位于1625-1630区间内。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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