王垣鑫：美联储紧急降息助攻 黄金反弹之势愈涨愈烈
虽然上周现货黄金收盘前大幅回落，但因公共卫生事件影响的不断扩大，市场对全球经济的担忧情绪一直较为浓厚，本周金价空头并未能跌破1560美元/盎司一线，以进一步打开回落空间，转而开始止跌反弹，昨日晚间美联储紧急降息50基点更是狠狠的助攻了一把，金价在短时间内大幅拉高36美元，今日亚盘开盘后短暂延续反弹走势，虽触及上周五起跌位置后有所承压，但整体仍在高位徘徊。
美联储紧急降息或只是开始
昨日晚间美联储以公共卫生事件构成不断变化的风险为由，紧急下调基准利率50基点，消息公布后，美元指数即刻出现反应大幅下挫近60点，创出1月8日以来的新低至96.92，同时美股三大指数大幅反弹后快速回落。
同时美联储将超额准备金率下调50个基点至1.1%，美联储联邦公开市场委员会称，美国经济基本面依然强劲，将密切监察经济发展及其对经济前景的影响，并会运用相关工具，采取适当行动支持经济。目前市场预期美联储在4月份进一步降息25个基点的概率仍高达68.6%。
基本面助攻黄金收复失地
从现货黄金周线图看，金价上周触及1690美元/盎司一线后持续回落，最低一度接近1560美元/盎司一线，收线跌破ma5均线支撑，但本周只用了不到三天时间基本将价格打回上周开盘价附近，目前macd指标双线仍在金叉过程当中，且ma5均线依旧向上提供支撑，若是本周金价能成功收高，后市有望结束回调并重新回归强势。
周内短时间需注意，日线方面ma5均线仍未拐头形成支撑，纵使今日价格收高，但明日ma5均线亦只会上移至1620美元/盎司一线位置，距离现价位仍有20美元或以上的幅度，将对金价短时间内进一步反弹带来阻滞，届时1650-1660区间或将成为金价压力重灾区，需重点留意。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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