王垣鑫：现货黄金急拉高，留意1600防守情况
昨日受全球股市下跌，叠加市场由于公共卫生事件对于全球经济影响的担忧情绪开始升温，从而引发现货黄金买盘，从大田环球现货黄金盘面上可以看到，昨日晚间金价在美盘短短三个小时内暴拉近18美元，现货黄金直接冲上1600美元/盎司整数关口上方，虽短时间内多头暂时没有进一步动作，但截至至目前为止，现货黄金价格整体仍徘徊于1600美元/盎司一线高位之上。
美元指数持续走强
美元指数自本月初开始回踩周线上升通道下轨支撑，即97.35一线位置后开始持续走强，目前虽已到达99.35-99.66前方阶段性高点压力区间，但距离周线上升通道上轨压力位置还有不少的空间，短时间内美指或有承压迹象，但随后仍有机会进一步走高。
黄金和美元的负相关性跌至8年低位，主要受到美国经济数据仍总体向好的影响，美元避险吸引力较强，还有是因为部分黄金的避险买需被稀释，短时间内可关注美联储纪要和周五一系列制造业数据。
日内现货黄金或保持震荡
现货黄金价格自昨日晚间美盘开盘一轮大幅拉高走势后，后半夜开始基本维持窄幅震荡走势，从大田环球现货黄金盘面上可以看到，窄幅震荡区间为1600-1605，幅度仅5美元，目前虽1h级别macd指标已经变盘死叉，但4h级别方面价格仍处于ma5均线上方，且均线簇呈多头排列，也就是说目前价格下方仍有支撑，日内不排除进一步冲高的可能。
但需要注意日线级别今天是高开，ma5均线支撑仍在1590美元/盎司一线附近，距离现价位10美元，日内亦存在拉回踩均线确认支撑的需求，建议可以留意1600-1605区间的突破方向，若后市金价上破该区间，则日内可看进一步往前高1611美元/盎司进发；若后市金价跌破1600美元/盎司一线，则可看日内往日线ma5均线即1590美元/盎司一线方向回踩以确认下方支撑的有效性，届时可尝试适当跟进。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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