王垣鑫：1560一线遭突破 现货黄金跌势加剧
本周金价开盘后小幅冲高至1591.8美元/盎司一线后开启回落走势，周一当天直接回踩日线重要均线支撑ma10附近，日内最大跌幅达20美元，周二更是进一步扩大下跌幅度至28美元，金价直接跌破1560美元/盎司一线，日线级别ma5均线已经有拐头迹象，目前macd指标双线死叉向下开口，短时间内回落过程或仍将持续。
美国大选拉开序幕
美国中部时间2月3日晚7时，2020年美国总统选举将正式拉开帷幕，位于美国中西部的艾奥瓦州在超过1600个选区举行民主党和共和党总统选举首场党内预选。由于艾奥瓦州的民主党党团选举无法于周一晚迅速公布结果，导致该党陷入政治尴尬境地，而原本鲜为人知的印第安纳州小城市市长皮特·布蒂吉格化身总统大选黑马，已经成为民主党诸多候选人中领跑者中的一员。
据《纽约时报》报道，目前有11名民主党人和包括总统特朗普在内的3名共和党人角逐党内提名。在民主党阵营里，前副总统拜登、联邦参议员桑德斯和伊丽莎白·沃伦在多数民调中领先。
黄金日内或有反弹
本周初金价连续下挫，此前支撑金价向上反弹的ma5及ma10均线均被跌破，ma5均线开始向下拐头形成压力，而前段时间一直黏合的MACD指标双线亦开始向下开口死叉，种种迹象表明短时间内金价走势被空方所掌控，后市进一步回落收回1550美元/盎司一线涨幅的概率较大。
但需注意日内价格在ma40均线附近找到支撑出现反弹，加之ma5均线压力目前距离价格较远且日内价格并未完成反抽均线压力的动作，因此日内仍有相当概率价格会出现反弹确认ma5均线压力的动作，短时间内建议重点关注1555美元/盎司一线支撑。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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