王垣鑫：临门一脚看非农能否助力回调
导语：2019年9月6日晚迎来本年度的第九次非农数据公布，上月非农数据就业人口数据有所回落，失业率小幅抬头，公布数据后小时内金价走势表现为震荡，整体区间控制在1433-1442以内，昨日金价大幅回落，本次非农或将成为金价回调走势能否开启的重要因素。
大田环球贵金属提示：2019年9月公布的为2019年8月非农数据
- 市场基本面
- 于8月1日美联储联邦基金利率区间调整至2.0%-2.25%。
- 全球贸易局势紧张。
- 美联储官员整体态度偏鸽。
- 数据分析
上个月非农表现较前一个月表现令人失望，季调后非农就业人口增加16.4万，少于预期的增加16.5万，失业率小幅抬头至3.7%，本期非农就业人口预期值为增加16万，失业率预期值持平，达到预期值可能性较大。
- 技术面走势
现货黄金近期强势反弹，自低位1270一线开始最高已经反弹近287美元的幅度，但昨日金价再度上探高位压力后大幅回落，短时间内有回踩测试1500美元/盎司整数关口的迹象，周线方面ma5均线支撑又被突破的风险，晚间非农或将决定这次突破能否成功，一旦成功后市有望开启周线回调。
- 非农布局参考
昨日金价大幅回落，日线录得大实体阴线形态，今日日线开线价格并未反抽日线ma5确认压力，在压力不到位的情况底下金价向下突破昨日低点难度较大，且下破幅度并不是太让人看好，非农金价维持两年的震荡规律近期有所松动晚间或有机会出现大幅度单边行情。
下方建议重点留意1500美元/盎司一线整数关口支撑，若数据公布没出现大幅度利空或者利多的情况底下，建议下方重点留意1500美元/盎司整数关口的支撑效果，上方重点留意1520美元/盎司一线压力效果；但若出现大幅度利多或者大幅度利空的数据结果时，建议下方重点关注1490美元/盎司一线支撑效果，上方重点留意1530-1533压力区间。
（建议仅供参考，入市有风险，投资需谨慎）
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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