王垣鑫：现货黄金周线多头延续
8月19日当周现货黄金价格大涨，据大田环球贵金属现货黄金盘面价格显示，金价于1510美元/盎司一线开盘，收于1527美元/盎司一线，周内最低触及1492美元/盎司一线位置，从形态上来看，整周表现为触底反弹走势，周线级别支撑均线ma5依旧处于价格下方位置，上行趋势并未遭到破坏。
原本国际贸易局势有所缓和，美联储会议纪要重申7月降息只是周期中的调整，美国就业数据也非常稳健，这些给美元提供支撑，令金价多次回落至1500整数关口下方，最低触及1492.20美元/盎司，但随着中国方面提出关税反制措施，美国股市大幅下跌，避险情绪显著升温，再加上美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔年会上的讲话偏向鸽派，美元也大幅走弱，也给金价提供上涨动能。
周线均线仍是重要支撑参考
周线均线簇呈现多头排列形态，价格亦处于ma5均线之上，这是比较明显的多头趋势，而后市多头延续性仍需关注日线级别方面的走势，从日线级别上看，现阶段多头在触及1534美元/盎司一线后短时间内并未能创出新高，日线陷入高位震荡局面，且macd指标双线处于死叉过程当中，表示短时间内日线级别暂处于调整状态当中，后市多头延续需以向上突破震荡区间为信号。
因此下周下方重点关注周线均线位置支撑效果，若金价回踩随后反弹，或直接向上突破1534美元/盎司一线位置，则周内有机会进一步往1550美元/盎司一线进发，但若金价直接向下跌破周线ma5支撑位置，则多单需谨慎，短时间内密切留意日线ma5是否有形成压力的迹象，若日线均线形成压力压制金价，则周线将大概率向下收破ma5支撑均线，现阶段如若周线ma5被下破，金价将失去周线级别的支撑，趋势将有机会转变为回调走势，有机会向下再度测试1480美元/盎司甚至是1450美元/盎司一线位置。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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