王垣鑫：降息预期重燃空头遭狂扫
受美联储主席鲍威尔鸽派言论影响，市场重新燃起对于美联储降息预期，受此影响现货黄金价格昨日晚间大幅拉高至1411美元/盎司一线，短暂回踩后凌晨时段进一步打开上行空间，涨势延续至今日亚盘时段最高一度触碰1426.9美元/盎司一线。
美国经济面临持续风险
鲍威尔在国会听证会上表示，受多个因素影响，美国经济前景在近期没有出现好转迹象，不确定性增加。普遍认为，鲍威尔的言论表明美联储可能将在近期降息，自从6月美联储会议以来，贸易摩擦所带来的不确定因素和全球经济增长下降都将影响美国经济前景。尽管美国6月就业市场表现良好，新增22.4万个就业岗位，但这不能改变美国经济前景面临诸多风险的事实。
鸽派言论重创美指提振金价
鲍威尔讲稿提前公布瞬间美元指数重挫，金价向上飙升20美元/盎司幅度，短暂回调后后半夜再度发力狂揽16美元，从日线级别来看，前段时间做出来的双顶形态雏形被破坏，目前金价整体主要维持宽幅震荡走势，区间为1380-1438，但需要注意ma5支撑仍在1400美元/盎司附近，加之日内1h级别和4h级别macd指标方向并不统一，建议等待金价突破4h级别ma5支撑或突破1h级别ma5后再进场跟进。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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