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王垣鑫:非农再度来袭市场密切关注

最近现货黄金多头有崛起迹象,据大田环球贵金属现货黄金盘面报价显示,金价从1270美元/盎司一线开始起涨,短短一个月时间直接攀升至最高价1413.7美元/盎司一线位置,在经历了一周回调30美元/盎司的过程后,短短两天时间再度从1380美元/盎司一线向上测试高点1413美元/盎司一线压力,但并未能成功取得突破,现阶段金价于1400美元/盎司整数关口上方。

王垣鑫:非农再度来袭市场密切关注

非农就业人口数据或成关键

周内焦点美国非农就业人口数据将于晚间公布,上一期非农就业人口数据表现不佳,预期值新增17.5万但公布值仅有7.5万,本次预期值稍作下调为新增16万,但周三晚间小非农数据不及预期仅10万的数据来看,今晚非农就业人口数据能否达到预期仍是未知之数,市场正密切关注晚间数据公布情况。

如果此次非农数据不佳,则会被市场解读为经济疲软已经渗透至就业领域的重要标志,可能会进一步打压市场对于美国二季度经济的预期,这可能会推动7月降息50个基点的预期升温。 反之如果符合预期甚至好于预期,市场将会将上一次非农数据不佳归结于暂时性因素,从而推动美元大幅回升,美联储首次降息甚至可能会推迟至9月,这对于黄金是不利因素。

非农建议:

按近两年来非农公布时现货黄金的走势规律看,短时间内主要以最大值为10美元的区间进行波动,甚至有些月份只有大约5美元的波动幅度,因此在实际性的单边非农行情回归之前还是建议考虑按回行情规律,采取震荡思路反手操作为主。

激进者公布数据后初次到达晚间8点小时线开盘价上下5美元附近进场反手轻仓操作,止损大约3美元,初始目标为3-5美元获利空间,晚间9点前不建议看超过10美元获利空间。

稳健者公布数据后初次到达晚间8点小时线开盘价上下8美元附近进场反手轻仓操作,止损大约3美元,初始目标为3-5美元获利空间,晚间9点前不建议看超过10美元获利空间。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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