王垣鑫:现货黄金六月非农前瞻
导语:2019年6月7日晚迎来本年度的第六次非农数据公布,上月非农数据就业人口数据进一步走强,失业率创两年新低,不出意外的是行情仍不能打破10美元的震荡光环,甚至只有7美元的波动幅度,公布数据后小时内波动区间为1269-1276。本次非农料仍会以震荡走势为主。
大田环球贵金属提示:2019年6月公布的为2019年5月非农数据
- 市场基本面
1.于5月2日美联储联邦基金利率区间维稳于2.25%-2.50%。
- 全球贸易局势紧张。
- 美联储主席鲍威尔言论从中性转为偏鸽。
- 数据分析
上个月非农表现较前一个月表现更加良好,季调后非农就业人口增加26.3万,失业率创两年新低仅3.6%,本期非农就业人口预期值为平均水平附近的17.5万,达到预期值可能性较大。
- 技术面走势
现货黄金近期强势反弹,自低位1370一线开始已经反弹近80美元的幅度,目前已经面临前方日线主要压力1344-1346区间,5日线仍在下方提供有效支撑,短时间内回调欲望并不明显。
- 非农布局参考
按近两年来非农公布时现货黄金的走势规律看,短时间内主要以最大值为10美元的区间进行波动,甚至有些月份只有大约5美元的波动幅度,因此考虑按回行情规律,采取震荡思路反手操作为主。
激进者公布数据后初次到达晚间8点小时线开盘价上下5美元附近进场反手轻仓操作,止损大约3美元,初始目标为3-5美元获利空间,晚间9点前不建议看超过10美元获利空间。
稳健者公布数据后初次到达晚间8点小时线开盘价上下8美元附近进场反手轻仓操作,止损大约3美元,初始目标为3-5美元获利空间,晚间9点前不建议看超过10美元获利空间。
以上操作建议均在晚上9点后失效。
(入场点位随晚间8点小时线的开盘价而变化,在开线之前并无太过明确的点位建议,建议仅供参考,入市有风险,投资需谨慎)
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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