王垣鑫：冲高无力黄金或将回踩
昨日早间金价延续了凌晨的反弹走势冲上前高上方，于欧盘短时间回踩过后，晚间由于美国总统特朗普重申贸易立场，以及英国脱欧和意大利预算风暴继续发酵，美盘金价快速冲高进一步扩大涨幅，一度冲高至1208附近，虽后市再度陷入短时间回踩过程当中，但今日早间有延续涨势的迹象，不过非常可惜的是并没有能够成功。
目前从1h级别看，金价已经在12点开始的三个小时完成了1小时回落，1小时在ma5与ma10之间震荡，1小时扩大回落幅度的三线变盘走法，这种走法是一个信号，在前面的文章当中也讲到过，一旦出现这一种信号，本级别的ma5在接下来的2-3条k线时间内，无论是支撑还是压力作用都将变得非常可靠，所以今天欧盘3-5点的时间内，1hma5将是金价反弹的重要阻滞。
另外还有非常重要的一点，1h的macd指标在高位出现死叉，大家可以将图缩小的看，一旦macd指标在极高位置或极低位置出现变盘，这种极高极低的位置大致都在同一水平线，一旦变盘这个金叉或是死叉过程将起码延续一个周期，也就是10-12个小时甚至以上，也就是从技术面上看，今天欧盘到美盘12点前，黄金要上攻都是比较困难的，所以个人建议将1200以上看作高位区间，1195-1190看为低位区间，进行高位区间主空，低位区间主多的操作思路。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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