王垣鑫：现货黄金再现反弹良机？
本周金价继续保持震荡走势，其日线级别1187-1212震荡区间依旧保存良好，鉴于其上周走势在周中亦表现出看好上破的情况，但在最后两个交易日内迅速回落收回涨幅，导致金价整体回落至周线ma5之下继续承压，本周最后交易日也就是今天的走势尤为关键。
目前日线ma5已经开始拐头向上，金价连续三天站稳上方，并没出现乖离急涨或滞涨的情况，相比于前面往上攻击震荡区间高点的走法更加乐观，kdj指标三线距离100尚有距离，且今日日线开线直接踩在ma5上方，日内已经具备了上涨的基础与上涨的空间，有望冲击1212-1214压力甚至是1216压力位，但最终也是最关键的一点就是今日日线有望收出阳线，从而让周线的收上ma5上方，打下后市反弹的基础。
其实金价近段时间的弱势大家有目共睹，但究竟何时才是反弹的时机，蒙特利尔银行资本市场在昨日表示，当美联储暂停其加息周期之时，金价将出现反弹，认为金价能否出现反弹与美联储的加息周期有关，美联储暗示加息周期暂停的任何政策变化，无论是由于低通胀还是美国国内住房指数疲弱，都可能导致金价反弹。
大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫认为，美联储的加息周期虽会对黄金构成打压作用，但大体上的打压不代表金价在经历一轮大幅度下滑后的反弹都不会出现，目前市场仍在等待一个反弹的契机，9月的美联储利率决议很有可能是一个契机，因为往往在利率决议结果公布后，金价都会出现一轮大幅度的行情，如若在在结果公布后金价仍是选择往下的方向的话，则反弹时机仍需等待明年第一季度的实物金需求旺季。
王垣鑫简介：
资深贵金属外汇分析师，曾受邀中金在线等大型财经媒体採访报道。擅长中短线交易，独创“万变均线交易法”“据点战法”，交易中的机会主义者，单边行情有效捕捉率极高，操作胜率业界首屈一指。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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