王垣鑫：八月非农前瞻
导语：2018年8月3日晚迎来本年度的第八次非农数据公布，本次数据公布也正值金价回踩1200整数关口之际，对黄金行情的引导作用可谓非常关键。上月非农数据小幅回落，不过仍处于20万以上的乐观数据，失业率及薪资数据则呈现出好坏不一状态。行情只有5美元的波动幅度，公布数据后两小时内波动区间为1259-1254。本次非农料仍会以震荡走势为主。
注：2018年8月公布的为2018年7月非农数据
数据分析
上个月非农表现良好，季调后非农就业人口增加21.3万，失业率上升至4%，平均每小时工资年率维持2.7%，表现均不及预期，上期非农就业人口出现小幅回暖，本次非农就业人口变动预期值仍维持在19万附近，达到预期值可能性较大。
技术面走势
受美元指数强势影响，近期的金价行情仍然偏弱，主要以1218-1235区间震荡，昨日在有效下破区间后，一路往周线前低1205一线进发，目前正位于此位置进行测试，晚间非农虽不看好引发大幅度波动行情，但后市会不会以非农为转折点开启反弹，可在今晚行情当中看出端倪。
非农布局参考
非农布局则仍按近一年多来的思路，可参考晚上8点钟的小时线开线位置，上下5美元左右寻找压力支撑或直接在上下5美元的点位做第一次反手操作，在上下8美元左右寻找压力支撑或直接在上下8美元的点位做第二次反手操作，目标均线看3-5美元，止损3美元。
7月非农以此方法顺利斩获4美元利润，本月继续沿用。
（以上操作均以第一次触碰为一次性进场时机，后市才到位不进场，在晚上9点后失效。）
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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