王垣鑫：现货黄金技术面一周看点
上周现货黄金周线收于1223美元/盎司一线，在前一周收出长下影线k线后，并不能做出有效反弹形成见底形态，整体依旧承压于周线ma5压力下方，macd指标双线仍在死叉过程当中空头趋势明显未结束。
由于周线趋势仍未发生任何改变，因此周线关注点和前几周一样，kdj指标三线超卖周线属于钝化下行，ma5为周线重点反压位置，算上由于价格下滑导致的均线下压，本周周线的运行幅度暂时预判为1234-1200区间，但由于本周开线于1223美元/盎司附近，ma5位于1234美元/盎司附近，乖离11美元/盎司。
若在本周没有反抽过1228美元/盎司上方点位的情况底下，本周最终收线不看好收在低于1211美元/盎司的地方，故若本周周初金价下探，则1211-1200区间可看情况大胆追空，但1200美元/盎司整数关口附近甚至下方皆为多方点位；若金价在本周周尾交易日才下探，则1211美元/盎司下方建议谨慎追空。
日线级别在上周做出了macd指标的底背离形态，但双线的金叉并没有发散，日线ma5亦不能有效形成支撑，在此情况底下，日线反弹暂时不被看好，周初需重点关注前低1218美元/盎司支撑，跌破则日线macd金叉过程或将结束，周内重新转换回看日线ma5压力往下做空的思路。
若本周金价往上反弹，上周高点1234美元/盎司一线为本周的前高及周线ma5均线反压位置，本周能否成为后市反弹基础，要以本周收线价格能否突破此处为参考，如果反弹力度较大，上方1245美元/盎司一线为本周预判高点，上方点位建议谨慎追多，或可以上方压力为参考做空回1245-1234区间内。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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