林幽沃：特朗普与美联储的恩爱情仇
关键词：美联储 特朗普
7月19日晚间，特朗普在接收采访时称不喜欢美联储在经济走强的时候进行加息，令到非美货币与贵金属出现短时间内的暴力反弹，市场为此一度疯狂，空头瞬间灰飞烟灭。
美东时间7月19日本周四，特朗普接受CNBC采访时说，他没有为美联储加息“激动”，每次经济走强联储就要再次加息。“实际上，我没有为此开心。但同时我让他们做他们觉得最适合的事。”
在历史上，美联储作为独立于美国联邦政府的机构，作出的决策不应受政界方面的影响。不过，美联储主席也是美国总统提名的，就是说鲍威尔亦是特朗普所提名出任美联储主席，所以，在一定的程度上美联储主席也会配合财政政策去实施货币政策。
而在过去，美国总统几乎没有在公开场合对美联储所制定的利率政策评论，本次特朗普一如既往发表不同于传统的言论，市场也一如既往地做出了反应，本来疲弱的非美货币以及贵金属，都出现反转的走势。
从目前环境来看，特朗普在2017年12月底签署了税改政策，为企业减轻负担，而美联储则在2018年6月的利率决议后的新闻发布会上称加息有可能将会加快。特朗普选择在这个时间点上表达出“在经济走强时，美联储则要加息”的不满，可能会打压原本美联储在9月加息的概率。
从目前市场走势来看，非美货币与贵金属都出现了较好的反弹力度，市场对美联储年内加息4次的预期降低，美元的强势走势有望告一段落，可以重点关注贵金属的支撑力度，在进行操作。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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