王垣鑫：加息行情让人失望后市方向仍存疑
今日凌晨2点，美联储公布6月利率决议结果，加息决定获得一致通过，如市场所料加息25个基点，受此影响现货黄金短时间内出现跳水行情，随后于1292美元/盎司支撑附近触底反弹收回所有下跌幅度翻阳，相对的美元指数在公布利率决议结果后大幅走高，随后承压回落收回所有涨幅并跌破低点持续下行。
大田环球贵金属留意到，政策声明显示，经济活动保持强劲增长，此前描述为稳健增长。美联储重申将保持宽松的货币政策立场，中期内保持通胀目标在2%左右。目前美国经济面临的短期风险大致均衡，美联储将超额准备金利率提高20个基点，并将贴现利率上调25个基点。此外，投资者密切关注有关美联储将在2018年剩余时间内再进行几次加息的线索。美联储点阵图显示，FOMC将在2018年加息4次，此前预计加息3次。
另外，在凌晨02:30美联储主席鲍威尔出席的新闻发布会中，鲍威尔指出，美国经济状况良好，失业率和通胀率处于低位。同时还强调，将从明年1月起在每次FOMC会议后举行新闻发布会。鲍威尔的此番言论被市场解读为鹰派基调。布朗兄弟哈里曼外汇策略主管Marc Chandler此前表示，如果鲍威尔需要更频繁地与媒体见面，那美联储就有进一步加息的空间。
大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫认为，国际现货黄金并未能在今日凌晨顺着加息的“东风 ”冲破近段时间1292-1302的震荡区间，这样的结果无疑是令人失望的，纵使今日欧盘有重回1300一线上方的迹象，若这走势放在今日凌晨则无疑是好消息，但在欧盘才出现则仍需等待行情回踩确认支撑方能跟进，另外目前的走势稍微偏向多方，原因来自于美联储放出的鹰派信号，并未导致金价下行，后市有望进一步走高，但前提是本周周线必须站在1300整数关口上方。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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