熊傲君:黄金还有一关!欧央行利率决议!
关键字:美联储加息,欧央行利率决议
此前已经强调过本周是超级周,美联储昨日如愿市场加息,但结果反应不大,这是由于已经被消化得七七八八了,而今晚马上登场的是欧央行利率决议,同样不容忽视,黄金已经过五关斩六将,就差最后一口气,若欧央行能够释放一定的鹰派信号,届时欧元的强势可能会带动非美崛起,过完这关,金价的多头离爆发就不远了。
美联储再度加息
今日凌晨两点,美联储利率决议正式展开,如市场预期再度加息,年内的第二次加息,并且整体措辞表达出相当不出的信号,年内加息四次的预期也得到了升温,而随后鲍威尔的讲话也是表达了偏鹰的态度,总体利率决议应该是利多美元利空黄金的呈现。
尽管利率决议比我们猜想得还要鹰派,但是黄金依旧不为所动,下跌空间受限,而是继续回归震荡走势,今日甚至有望小幅走高的可能,在大田环球知识课堂提到过这就是非常典型的利空出尽,预期散去的表现,这基本也是每次加息之后的类似结果。
欧央行重磅登场
除了美联储利率决议外,晚间欧洲央行利率决议也登场,由于此前欧央行曾经释放过偏鹰的信号,有望尽早结束QE,欧洲央行首席经济学家普雷特上周表示,欧洲央行将会就是否在今年晚些时候退出购债计划展开辩论。市场据此认为,欧洲央行的政策转变可能会比预想来的要早。
若本次欧央行利率决议真的释放出了鹰派的信号,那么欧元必然在短线上会受到利多的作用,从而美元可能会进一步承压下行,非美货币或集体收益,而黄金在经历了近一个月的震荡后,两大重磅消息散去,风险情绪也告一段落后,大田环球熊傲君认为极有可能迎来真正意义上的上涨良机。
熊傲君简介:
现任大田环球金业特约分析师,著名分析师,多次受邀汇通财经集团及中金在线等大型财经媒体採访报道。 擅长各种杠杆交易品种分析,熟知庄家博弈和市场心理,独创“LP(law and psychology)”交易方法。对时间节奏的把控和局部高低点捕捉极淮。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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