王垣鑫:区间突破就在今周
现货黄金近几周一直保持低位震荡走势,并且震荡区间不停缩窄,上周整体区间震荡幅度只有13美元/盎司,来到本周在美朝会晤及美联储将公布6月份利率决议结果的双重影响下,料行情将主要受基本面影响,昨日的震荡走势也印证这一观点,在两大消息即将公布的情况底下,市场整体保持观望态度,近段时间震荡区间并未能突破,等待基本面指引。
关于朝美会晤方面,今日上午9:15,美国总统特朗普和朝鲜最高领导人金正恩在新加坡圣淘沙嘉佩乐酒店进行历史性的首脑会晤。这是朝美领导人自1948年韩朝分裂以来时隔70年再次会晤,预计会给始终对立的两国关系带来新的转机。朝美两国计划在首脑会谈后发布共同声明或联合新闻稿,就无核化、保障朝鲜体制安全达成何等程度的协议备受全球瞩目,也牵动着多方市场的神经。
根据白宫11日晚间发布的信息,特朗普将于新加坡时间12日9点15分和金正恩举行只有翻译在场、没有其他官员陪同的“一对一”会谈。而大范围朝美双边会晤则将在当地时间大约10点举行。此后特朗普和金正恩将于北京时间11:30共用午饭,之后特朗普将于北京时间16:00召开新闻发布会。
大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫认为,今日朝鲜美国领导人时隔70周年再度会晤,可以说是一个历史的里程碑,其双方跨越重重的困难坐在一起谈判,亦可以看出其双方的诚意,另外到目前为止,谈判的氛围也十分良好,虽然目前金价整体波动幅度不大,但料下午16:00召开新闻发布会的时候,或将迎来本周的第一波大行情,上下方重点关注1306及1290支撑,但需注意由于周四还有美联储的利率决议公布,这也是市场关注的重点,因此今明两天不建议过分追高追空,关键突破行情估计还是会在周四的凌晨到来。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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