王垣鑫：日内回升看支撑1296定强弱
昨日国际现货黄金开于1299.8美元/盎司，收于1298美元/盎司，日内最高上行至1302.9美元/盎司，最低下探至1294.7美元/盎司，整体延续本周震荡的主旋律。亚盘主要保持1296-1298区间窄幅震荡，于欧盘拉高后突破震荡区间，美盘早段一度扩大涨幅至1303美元/盎司一线，但并不能站稳，随后以一条大阴线快速回落，收回整天所有涨幅并小幅下破至1295美元/盎司一线，随后反弹。
大田环球贵金属留意到，这一种短时间快速冲高后快速回落的走势在近段时间内已经发生了两次，虽然现阶段走势有走出震荡上行的格局，但macd指标双线并未跟随价格破高，有多重顶背离的迹象，后市有下破震荡上行通道的风险。
另外4小时级别里面我们可以发现，近段时间金价震荡主要以1296美元/盎司一线，为强弱分界线，可以发现途中或有短暂虚破分界线的动作，但若实体不能实施上下破动作，则后市仍将维持在原区间内运行，因此这个分界线的跨越是以实体为准，因此后市一旦4小时级别实体下破1296美元/盎司一线，则行情或将重回1290-1292支撑区间回踩。
大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫认为，日内主要关注的是上行通道下轨支撑的有效性，因此可以参考1小时实体上破1298美元/盎司则可考虑回踩ma5做多看回1300美元/盎司及前高1303美元/盎司一线，若4小时级别实体下破1295-1296区间，则有向下跨越强弱分界线的嫌疑，可反抽ma5尝试做空看回1290-1292区间支撑。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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