羊首领：美朝韩有意绕开中国签署半岛协定
“金特会”是近日市场关注的重点事件，该事件经过多次的反复，从开始的谈到崩，再从后来的崩再到谈，可说是戏剧性的发展。时至今日，“金特会”离召开剩下一周时间，但好像从来没人提到中国是否应参与其中，又或者说美朝韩有意绕开中国签署半岛协定？
大田环球羊首领认为事实并非如此，虽说美国人肯定愿意抛开中国签署半岛协定，让其在半岛更有主导权。但是朝鲜能同意吗？答案是否定的，若然只有美朝韩签署任何协定，那么朝鲜必然处于谈判劣势，让朝鲜陷于三国会谈的孤立之中。此外，韩国方面现时的态度看似支持美国，但事实上韩国还是需要考虑到未来，是否要在一颗大树上绑住一辈子的问题，因此“金特会”还是有较大的变数。
历史遗留——签署半岛协定必然需要中国
朝鲜战争已经过去了半个世纪，但相信很多人都知道朝鲜战争的参战国家有很多，其中包括中、美、苏、英、法、加、澳等国。那时动用最多兵力帮助朝鲜的国家毫无疑问是中国，而韩国方面的支持者美国也是死伤惨重，历时3年的大战终于是由于种种原因，战线稳定在了38线一带，最后以朝韩两国签署“停战协议”告终。回到今天，当年战争主战的“中美韩朝”要抛开中国，只有三个国家进行最终的永久谈判，事实是很难进行下去的。
本次“金特会”终将无功而返
可以看出本次“金特会”最大的败笔是参与的国家，缺少了第四方的重要事实，基本可以确定本次谈判必然不会太顺利，又或者本次的会晤只能签署一些名义上的协议，实质对整体半岛局势并不会造成过多的改变。若特朗普真有意解决半岛问题，也就意味着需要四方会谈，甚至回到六方会谈当中，不然最终的所谓解决半岛问题只能是空谈。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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