王垣鑫：中美贸易局势缓和
近日中美贸易局势持续发展，在上周四到周五的时间里，根据中国主席习近平和美国总统特朗普的指示，国务院副总理刘鹤率领的中方代表团与包括财政部长姆努钦、商务部长罗斯和贸易代表莱特希泽等成员组成的美方代表团就贸易问题进行了长达两天时间的协商，并于上周六也就是2018年5月19日发表联合声明。
根据磋商结果，双方同意将采取有效措施实质性减少美对华货物贸易逆差。为满足中国人民不断增长的消费需求和促进高质量经济发展，中方将大量增加自美购买商品和服务。这也有助于美国经济增长和就业。未来将有意义地增加美国农产品和能源出口，为此美方将派团赴华讨论具体事项。
另一方面大田环球贵金属也留意到双方亦就扩大制造业产品和服务贸易进行了讨论，就创造有利条件增加上述领域的贸易达成共识；双方高度重视知识产权保护，同意加强合作，中方将推进包括《专利法》在内的相关法律法规修订工作；双方同意鼓励双向投资，将努力创造公平竞争营商环境。最后双方同意继续就此保持高层沟通，积极寻求解决各自关注的经贸问题。
随着中美贸易局势的缓和，之前由此引起的市场避险情绪将进一步降温，或将对黄金可能出现的反弹造成不利影响，另外上周美国10年期国债收益率终于有效涨破3%，美元指数也受此影响走出了今年的新高点，正往上年12月12日的反弹高点不断进发。
大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫提醒鉴于短期内美元指数及美债的不断走高，或将加速对冲基金削减美元空仓，进而加剧空头回补的情况，从而对黄金造成进一步的打压，后市恐有直指1250美元/盎司一线的可能。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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