王垣鑫:关于MACD和KDJ的那些事(一)
很多朋友在盘面上都会调出一到两个指标来帮助自己对盘面做出更好的判断,但也有很多朋友对指标的理解还停留在很浅的表层上,对行情的判断非常有限,那么今天大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫就跟大家分享一下MCAD指标和KDJ指标一些比较常用而且实用的技巧。
首先最基础的MACD指标双线金叉看涨或者看反弹,MACD指标双线死叉过程看跌或者看回踩,KDJ指标三线金叉看短时间上涨,KDJ指标三线死叉看短时间下跌,80-100为超买区,0-20为超卖区这些比较基本的大家应该都知道了,我们接下来说一些比较特别的。
MACD指标:
我们平时除了观察MACD指标双线是在金叉还是死叉过程之外,还需要看他们的开口状况,指标形态很大程度上是价格形态决定的,如果一个MACD指标的金叉虽做出来了,但是双线并没有明显开口向上运行,这一种情况则需要小心,因为这往往是表示了价格并没有明显走出涨幅的情况。
我们从大田环球贵金属黄金盘面上观察到在此情况下行情大多会以阴涨或直接向下变盘的走势运行,因此若要跟进做多则买点位于本级别的ma5均线附近,小止损跟进跌破则变盘反抽ma5可以尝试做多,只有出现大幅拉高将MACD指标双线金叉开口拉开才是行情站稳上涨的表现,方可大胆做多。
盘面不单止存在上涨下跌的空间概念,而且还存在涨势和跌势能维持多久的时间概念,我们从大田环球贵金属黄金盘面上观察到,一般的MACD指标金叉死叉周期能够维持10条k线以上基本都能确立一波明显的趋势,但今天要跟大家说的是金叉死叉的极限大概是多少条k线。
一般来讲当一个金叉或者死叉过程运行超过20条k线我们就开始进入等待变盘的时间,不过相信很多朋友都遇到过一个金叉或者是死叉的过程持续超过了20条k线但是还一直走的情况,这一种通常发生在极强或者极弱的走势当中,但也并不代表他没有极限,这种情况在大级别上大概能走30条k线左右的时间,小级别(1h以下)可能会走到40条k线左右的时间。
大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫建议,若要以时间论述则大级别不建议追过第26条k线,由于小级别超过40条k线的周期出现频率也极低小级别不建议追过第30条k线;另外若要以形态论述的话,大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫则建议重点关注本级别ma5,因为过长的MACD金死叉周期出现,一般伴随的都会是阴涨阴跌行情,以跌破或涨破ma5为行情反转信号,最多连续两条k线破ma5必须离场观望。
剩余内容下期继续呈现。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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