王垣鑫：黄金死守1300迎“末日审判”
现货黄金昨日以震荡下跌走势为主，据大田环球贵金属黄金盘面报价显示，昨日金价于1315.1美元/盎司开盘，收于1306美元/盎司，日内最高上行至1320.4美元/盎司，最低下探至1301.8美元/盎司，日线录得带上下影线大实体阴线一条。
大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫留意到，昨日金价主要延续前天的下跌过程，在经过前天晚间及昨日凌晨的反弹过程后，正日金价均无出现明显反弹，一路直下1300美元/盎司整数关口，虽然暂时能站稳在1300美元/盎司上方，并且1小时级别成功做出双底底部形态。
但从大田环球贵金属黄金4小时级别盘面上看到，整体下行趋势依然保存良好，也就是说现货黄金在1300美元/盎司附近做出的这一个底部形态仅仅是短时间内的底部形态，暂时并未转变成大级别的底部形态，暗示在大级别上黄金的走势依旧是偏弱。
另外大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫也留意到，昨日日线跌幅较大，收盘价距离日内低点较近，距离日线ma5压力较远，而且从kdj指标可以看出目前日线级别处于超卖区域，其显著特点就是行情会以ma5为重要压力参考，在超卖区域中若行情要继续下跌，每一条日线都需要反抽ma5确认支撑，因此今日的重要压力观测位位于日线级别ma5压力位1315美元/盎司附近。
今日欧盘重点关注1307-1312区间，若能站稳1307上破1312则表示双底颈线位置回踩成功，接下来要进行反抽日线ma5的动作，若不能站稳1307一线则欧盘走弱，晚间将重回1300整数关口一线等待晚间数据公布甚至下破1300。
另外晚间美国将公布小非农ADP就业数据，但由于在美国正式进入加息周期后，非农系列数据行情均为震荡走势，因此大田环球贵金属分析师王垣鑫认为，晚间关注重点仍应是凌晨2点的美联储利率决议，虽然5月份为小加息周期，并不看好美联储会有进一步动作，但由于6月份加息结果为市场关注重点，因此若市场能从此次政策声明当中找到美联储6月份加息的线索，则金价将大概率下破1300整数关口。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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