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熊傲君:回归大震荡,黄金短线看欧盘

2018.04.24黄金策略

昨日回顾:昨日金价小幅下行,延续周五的弱势,开盘跳空后迅速回补,随后欧盘开始走弱,再次奠定美盘的运行大概,欧盘下破1330后,美盘继而走弱最低一度触及至1322一线附近,相当接近前期关键支持1318-1320重点支持区域,止跌后小幅反弹,目前回归至1325一线徘徊,日内的走势应该还是震荡为主,欧盘走势仍是主旋律。

消息面:昨天关键数据不多,经历上周的地缘情绪后,本周相对安静一些,重要数据不多,周四有欧央行的利率决议以及周五的GDP才是重点。最近美元不断走高,非美货币集体低迷,美元指数仍旧保持强势上涨的态势,在日线收出连续五连阳后,今日盘中更是一举冲过91的整数关口,刷新了近14周以来的高点。仅用短短6个交易日,美指的走势完成了从颓势到 “一枝独秀”的逆转。

今日展望:由于目前依旧没有明显趋势的出现,虽然近期偏弱,但仍是短期的表现,方向仍未破位,我们中长线坚守,只是让人失望的是这次还是未能施展多头的威力,本月的预期恐已难以达成,但是依旧看好,短线操作难度进一步加大,但只要我们看清欧盘走势,短线美盘仍是有机会的,目前价格在1326附近,欧盘仍以昨日低点视为下跌延续后,跌破则为走弱,上方破位1329可视为走强,那么晚间是有望再次震荡至1335一线附近,若走弱就恐怕会下跌至1310区域,所以需重点留意。

熊傲君:回归大震荡,黄金短线看欧盘

从现货黄金4小时图看:目前金价进一步下移平台,此处也是之前金价再次冲高的支撑,再次回落此处将变得非常关键,若能守稳上攻,多头依旧希望较大,不过这是对于后期的判断,短线关注好日内节奏强弱,现阶段均线组向下施压,MACD指标在0轴下方运行,总体偏弱,不过短期均线MA5有拐头倾向,短线可能有一定反弹需要,当然最好获得了欧盘的支撑,昨日我们看先跌后涨,如果是这样,我们今天可能就可以看先涨后跌。

操作建议: 1300-1320长线多单继续耐心持有,今年目标依旧是1400上方,

加息已过,继续轻仓持有即可。短线今天建议关注1322-1329,破位前区间操作,若欧盘出现突破,美盘直接顺势跟进至少6美元以上。

 


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