熊傲君：金价持续震荡，该何时出头？
2018.04.09黄金策略
上周回顾：在经历上周的反复过山车行情走势后，周尾也迎来了非农数据的公布，但行情反复运行后仍是保持震荡为主，由于特朗普贸易战的缘故，上周金价反复冲高后回落，避险情绪容易快进快退，后面的非农数据出现了利多的情况，远不及预期，但金价初期仍是保持冷静，后市小幅上升后止涨，最终在1330一线收盘，早间亚市保持震荡为主，但是欧盘刚开也有跌破1330的迹象，这似乎意味着金价仍是震荡的概率较大，因为上行不延续。
消息面：上周五美国3月非农就业新增人口录得6个月来最小增幅，因温和天气带来的提振作用有所消退，但薪资增速有所上扬；意味着就业市场仍在收紧，能够对消费支出提供支撑，允许美联储今年进一步加息，美联储主席鲍威尔称，进一步渐进加息最能促进美联储实现目标，一些指标说明劳动力市场仍有剩余。预计通胀将在中期内稳定在2%左右。本周将迎来PPI以及CPI的通胀数据，另外在周四将公布三月份的美联储货币纪要。
今日展望：亚盘时段金价围绕1330-1334区间波动为主，此处应该是蓄力的位置，但可惜欧盘阶段并没有延续周五的走势继续冲高，而是转而回落，这就导致行情无法进一步延伸方向，可能仍是继续震荡的走势居多。现阶段欧盘破位了早盘低点1329.7，不过目前延续力度也不大，建议仍是谨慎为上，待确认欧盘中段进一步破位或4小时线确认破位再作跟进美盘，届时金价则可能再次往下测试1320一线，本周后市一旦跌穿，金价多头则不容乐观，对于多头方面，仍需要短时间内尽快回升破位1335，并且延续向上。
从现货黄金4小时图看：逃过了一个震荡，又去了另一个震荡，短线操作上确认难熬，只能确认欧盘强弱才能跟进了，上周拉大阳，本周依旧没有延续，近段时间多次出现这种状况欺骗大家，因此操作上不宜过急，在没有更进一步的指引下，恐防黄金走势仍是较为郁闷，建议关注上方1335-1336一线反压，下方关注1320一线支撑，先作为短期的多空分水线，若持续在这区间，那么只能等待欧盘的延续性跟进美盘较为稳健。
操作建议： 1300-1320长线多单继续耐心持有，今年目标依旧是1400上方，加息已过，继续轻仓持有即可（本月有望到达）。短线今天建议关注1320-1335区间，以欧盘强弱布局美盘思路。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
相关阅读
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.