熊傲君：周线月线修正，4月金价看好爆发
2018.04.02黄金策略
上周回顾：金价在此前加息之后多头拉起强势冲关，最高一度涨势1357附近，但最终受趋势线反压，展开回调走势，并且在周二开始加速下行，补回此前上涨的涨幅，周尾一度再次测试1320一线支撑，最终在收线阶段迎来复活节假期，市场交投开始变为清淡，整体金价表现跌宕起伏，在加息后迎来了一些避险情绪的支持下得到了一定的攀升，但依旧未能走出破位，上方空间仍待进一步打开，新的4月份，我们可以期待一下。
消息面：3月利率决议加息后，鲍威尔保持中性言论，金价利空出尽，特朗普打开贸易战序幕一度产生避险情绪，不过近段时间朝鲜不断示好，先与中国会面，再与韩国交好，并将于4月可能与美国总统特朗普举行峰会，市场避险情绪尽散。数据方面，美国数据依旧靓丽，但总体对市场影响有限，美元指数窄幅震荡，本周经济数据和美联储官员讲话较多，市场暂时存在一定的观望情绪，多数非美货币波动暂时也比较小心。
今日展望：上周金价在测试1320后出现反弹，早间有跳涨缺口，并且目前已经重回1330上方，这对于新的四月份来说是相当不错的信号，我认为四月份的金价将是多头爆发期，1400依旧是可期待的。还是那一句，敢跌就敢补，敢下就敢接，在破坏依据之前，中长线观点坚持不改，这就是计划交易。短线上日内关键处在1330-1332区域，早盘破位此处，等待欧盘确认，一旦欧盘破位1332并且站稳，本日就有望再往1340一线攀升，而且本周格局也有望清晰化，欧盘要走弱需破位亚盘回调低点1326，所以现阶段时间宜先观察为上。
从现货黄金1小时图看：上周大幅回调后，目前整体1小时的格局仍是偏弱，因此严格意义上来说，破位1330还不代表反转走势，目前还需要进一步确认，市场情绪恢复稳定，现阶段是等待技术面的呈现，均线组走出多头排列，短期仍有反弹的需求，不过上方压力还是众多，比如1332-1335-1340三个位置，日内都是挑战，操作上建议重点关注欧盘强弱跟进，若能延续，晚间逢低做多为主，若不能延续，晚间将会走震荡之势。
操作建议： 1300-1320长线多单继续耐心持有，今年目标依旧是1400上方，加息已过，继续轻仓持有即可。短线关注1325-1340区间，建议观看欧盘强弱日内高空结合。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
相关阅读
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.