熊傲君:特朗普关键时刻发威,金价绝境重生!
2018.03.02黄金策略
昨日回顾:昨日金价在早盘时段承压明显,反弹无力保持继续下行走势,欧盘时段再刷新低,意味着美盘依旧偏弱,美盘早段下破1310支撑,随后冲至1304附近,此时行情开始出现反复,先是迅速反弹1311附近,受压再次回落,并再次突破前低至1302附近,但特朗普突然发难,帮助金价出现大逆转,金价瞬间重回1310上方,隔夜最高涨至1320一线,补回日内所以跌幅,金价多头死灰复燃,紧守1300大关口,面对多重利空条件下,金价仍是相当抗跌,相当有未来的体现。
消息面:消息上,昨日的数据表现继续强劲,物价指数,个人支出均符合预期,通胀水平确实有望保持攀升,另外初请失业金人数继续刷新新低,仅有21万,表明就业市场也相当良好,加息已是不可避免,而随后的鲍威尔再次鹰派发言也印证了这一点,但是昨夜令人意外的是特朗普的发威,特朗普行情再次席卷市场,美国总统特朗普宣布,将对进口钢和铝征收关税,其征收的税率分别为25%和10%。投资者猜测随着美国贸易保护主义抬头,全球贸易战或因此打响。不得不说关键时候还得靠特朗普!
今日展望:金价先跌后涨,形态上走出V型反转,表明下方支撑也是相当强大,1300一线昨晚已经触及,随后迅速反弹也表明了这一点,此前已经给大家强调过今年是上移区间,1300不是那么好破的,就像上年的1200大关,另外也给大家说过短期回调就是给长线做多的机会,美元也提到过91上方一线就是强力反压,昨日也达到了90.96,那么这就是共振,当然目前还不能说为反转,毕竟加息还有两周,点位也未完成形成反转确认,但反弹的速率远远大于下跌,这已经是好的势头,未来长线金价多头依旧可期。
从现货黄金日线图看:金价大幅反弹乃下行修正的局面,目前仍待更进一步确认,不要怕双顶形态,此前说过不会走出空间来的,上年在1200一线也试过双顶,结果呢?只是虚破,目前均线组短期施压,而且昨日大幅反弹后,短线进入周五可能会走得比较震荡,长线观点不变,耐心持有,短线关注欧盘强弱确认今日是继续拉升还是震荡,拉升需破昨晚高点,震荡则破1315,后者周五将围绕1310-1320区间震荡确认底部,前者将冲至1325-1330区间。
操作建议:之前提醒的若有意做长线的,1300-1320都可以考虑,有尝试的继续拿稳,今年目标依旧是1400上方,加息前若有回调依旧可以进场或补仓。
熊傲君简介:
现任大田环球金业特约分析师,著名分析师,多次受邀汇通财经集团及中金在线等大型财经媒体采访报导。 擅长各种杠杆交易品种分析,熟知庄家博弈和市场心理,独创“LP(law and psychology)”交易方法。对时间节奏的把控和局部高低点捕捉极淮。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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