王垣鑫:本周方向已出耐心等待机会
上期文章讲过稳健的等两天,用周初收线定一周走势的方法,周一金价反弹幅度较大,日线较大机会收出阳线,但左侧是下跌过程,如果周二继续收阳则本周剩余时间看震荡上行为主,也就是说炒加息行情并未到来。若周二收阴回日线ma5下方甚至收破今日低点,则本周剩余时间看震荡下行,炒加息预期行情有望到来。
从目前结果来看,周二金价不负众望于晚间走出跳水行情,这下子本周剩余时间起码到周四晚间的行情走势基本可以看震荡下行,但需要注意几点:
第一、日线级别昨日日线大跌几乎光脚阴线收盘,今天的日线并不是开在ma5附近的,若这种情况放在平时可能没什么,但现在日线级别的kdj指标三线已经在低位,若后市金价要继续下行则属于钝化下行,在钝化下行的情况底下会有几个特点呢,1.后市能跌多少就是多少;2.每天的跌幅不会过大;3.每天基本都要回一次ma5报道。所以从日线看今天非常大概率会有反弹过程。
第二、4小时级别kdj三线走低,macd指标双线没跟随价格破低。
第三、1小时级别macd走到极低位置出现金叉,后市将迎来一个周期的反弹时间。
今日关注1313-1319区间,区间内不建议进行操作。
下破区间在1311附近和1309附近做多,止损1307下方,目标1311、1318。
上破区间激进可以回踩做多,止损1314下方,目标1322、1325
反弹至1325附近做空,止损1328,目标1322、1318、1313
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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