王垣鑫:两天知晓炒加息行情是否已到来
时间来到了2月26号当周,记得从进入到2月份开始大家就开始不停的在猜现货黄金什么时候开始走炒加息预期的行情,一旦金价出现跌幅就会问是不是已经开始炒加息预期,但是本人也一再强调,做这种特殊周期的行情要适时,什么意思呢?就是你要等行情进入特定的时间节点里面而且要出信号了才能够参与进去,毕竟消息行情独立于技术面之外来无影去无踪,做这种比较难以捉摸的行情就要尽量顺从他的规律,就好像有的人月尾才发工资,有的人月初就发工资,你要等到发工资的时候才能拿到,不能原本是月尾出粮的你月头去问老板讨薪。
回到金市上,提前一个月去炒加息预期的时间已经过去了,自2017年正式进入加息周期以来,一年内加息3次,其中最快的两次也是在前一个月26号当周再开始出现跌幅,剩下的一次在议息会议前一周才出现跌幅,因此可以发现近一年来最快出现炒加息预期行情的时间也只不过是在前一个月26号当周,也就是说在今年3月的议息会议之前最快是本周出现炒加息预期行情。
当然上文提及到炒加息行情来无影去无踪不是你说他炒他就开始炒,而且现在日内级别出现了头肩底形态,暗示前段时间的冲高回落行情结束,金价进入反弹调整过程,激进的关注1341-1346区间择高做空,1346-1348区间不被有效突破基本可以看回落。
稳健的等两天,用周初收线定一周走势的方法,今日金价反弹幅度较大,日线较大机会收出阳线,但左侧是下跌过程,如果明天继续收阳则本周剩余时间看震荡上行为主,也就是说炒加息行情并未到来。若明天收阴回日线ma5下方甚至收破今日低点,则本周剩余时间看震荡下行,炒加息预期行情有望到来。
日内上方关注1341、1346压力择高做空,下方关注1335、1332支撑择低做多,以日内单为主。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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