熊傲君:下行终结,早盘急升待欧盘验证!
2018.02.26黄金策略
上周回顾:上周金价总体呈现下行偏弱走势,周初走出大幅回调,基本回吐之前零售销售数据带来的涨幅,高位回落近40美元,不过随后下跌无延续,尽管数据消息皆利空,但反而利空出尽无下行空间,周尾阶段,金价保持震荡走势为主,而且幅度很小,日线连十字收线,意味着下方支撑强大,本周新线出现拉升,今日早间的突然拉涨,打破了宁静的格局,并且止住了弱势,周线收线后,本周有望迎来强势,需关注欧盘的强弱奠定日内的收线结果去判断。
消息面:上周消息上主要集中在美联储的货币纪要以及半年度货币政策报告,皆显示美国经济恢复强劲,就业市场强劲,通胀率将持续攀升,给金价带来了巨大的压力。本周是数据密集公布的一周,其中包括多国消费者信心、贸易收支、PMI数据等,可从中研判经济增长和利率政策前景。美联储数位官员的讲话也是关注重点,而重头戏将是美联储新任主席鲍威尔在国会发表上任后的首次证词陈述。
今日展望:早盘急涨谨防无好事,尽管形态非常漂亮,多头也走得较稳,目前具备头肩底的形态,1335一线为顶底转换的机会,理应是尝试做多的机会,但是亚盘总是阴谋诱惑性动作比较多,因此稳健还得等待欧盘的强弱,比方说早盘高点在1338一线附近,若能欧盘延续走强破高此处,那么上行空间将进一步打开,届时回调再做多是非常合理的操作,整体上今日暂看多一线,除非欧盘出现较大反复。
从现货黄金4小时图看:金价早间突破1336上周尾反弹的高点,形态有头肩底之势,不过目前仍未突破上周下跌趋势的半分位,因此仍不可视为反转,加上大阳条拉行不走延续也是没有意义的,日内重点关注半分位一线的压力以及下方1332附近的支撑,视为欧盘强弱,然后再行顺势跟进,本波是反弹还是新的上行走势需耐心观察。
今日操作建议:
1335附近(上下1美元)做多,第一目标1339,第二目标1343附近,止损4美元。
1343附近(上下1美元)做空,目标1340附近,止损3美元。
上破1345追多,第一目标1349,第二目标1353附近,止损4美元。
下破1331追空,第一目标1328,第二目标1325附近,止损3美元。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
相关阅读
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.