熊傲君:美元反弹受阻 金价或调整到位
2018.02.12黄金策略
上周回顾:上周金价保持弱势调整,在周初阶段走出小幅震荡走势,当时也具备一定的避险情绪,金价保持1340一线附近波动,不过随后风云突变,避险消散,美元指数迅速反弹重回90一线上方,金价也趁机展开回调走势,周三开始金价一直下滑至最低1310下方,不过周尾阶段已再无下跌动能,保持低位盘整,今日早间开盘出现急涨,一举突破上周尾反弹高点,价格重回1320上方,趋势上空头有所被打坏,日内或周初有望迎来进一步测试上方支撑。
消息面:消息上数据上周表现继续强劲,初请再次刷新低,美国的就业市场相对强劲,而英国方面有望在后市加快升息速度,不过上周最为令人瞩目的当属股市市场的崩盘,由美股触动全球市场股市的大跌,造成黑色的一周,再加上美国政府也是出现了短暂的关门,但市场似乎没有太大影响,避险情绪并没有造成金价太大的反弹。
今日展望:现阶段金价重回1320上方,理论上短期下跌趋势已被打坏,1320变为顶底转换处的位置,若此处欧盘能守稳,金价理应继续挑战1330一线反压,反之若再度破位,恐防后市金价进一步回撤至1300一线大关,早盘急涨也是需要注意的,一旦欧盘不延续,今天就不属于强势,若今日能进一步反弹,周初甚至本周有望迎来多头继续发力吗,更进一步甚至此处已是空头回调到位的情况,后市或真正冲击1400大关。
从现货黄金1小时图看:金价早间急涨,拉出大阳,一度涨至1325上方,随后亚盘尾段回落,那么关键点很明显就是欧盘是否延续,现阶段均线组呈现较强多头局面,不过未形成良好多头排列,关注突破位1320一线是日内节奏的关键,操作上建议逢低做多为主,稳健者等待欧盘强弱跟进。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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