王垣鑫:现货黄金能否形成关键下破?
现货黄金维持震荡走势已经维持了一个月的时间,上周五金价都于三角形震荡区间下轨下方运行,但收盘前一波消息影响突然从1271美元/盎司拉起最高到1289美元/盎司,幅度达18美元/盎司,在以为金价又要重新回到三角形震荡区间内的时候,周末休市时间内,参议院通过了税改议案,使行情有了新转机,本周直接跳空低开,收回全部涨幅。
目前金价仍未做出补缺动作,欧盘有测试低点动作,但需要注意一点,今天操作上建议的是逢高沽空,注意是逢高沽空而不是追空,因为1h级别里面macd指标双线处在刚刚死叉的阶段,金价的前低近在咫尺,但macd指标离前低还有相当一段距离,因此今天金价是不适宜去进行破低动作的,或者说一旦日内金价有破低动作则可在下方寻找支撑位置反手做多,破低应该发生在明天,后市上方震荡区间下轨压力将成为重要观盘点,若本次金价能确认压力成功并进一步下行,则有机会往下寻找1250一线支撑,若后市再次回到上方,则可能要等本周无非农指引方向。
下破前低后激进在1268附近做多,目标1271-1272、1275,止损1264下方。
稳健1265附近反手做多,目标1268,、1271、1275,止损1262下方。
激进1275附近做空,止损1279上方,目标1272-1270.
稳健1278附近做空,止损1281上方,目标1275、1272-1270.
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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