王垣鑫：本周反弹动作完成继续做空
昨日早间带出了一个观点，当一个级别里面的kdj快线穿过了0轴或者是100轴的时候，其实行情可以继续去涨或者继续去跌，因为超卖和超买充其量只能说是一个调整需求，并不是一个信号，只要指标不出信号那么行情就能继续往原方向运行，通常表现为kdj指标快线于0轴或100外横向运行，并有一个显著的特点，就是每一条线基本都有反抽或是回踩ma5的动作，我称这种走势为钝化上行或是钝化下行。
现阶段的周线其实就是在一个钝化下行的阶段，很明显kdj指标快线已经在前一周的时候下穿了0轴并且保持横向运行，由于上周非农后出现短时间大幅下跌行情，本周金价开线价格较低，两点：1.大跌过后金价并未调整，2.周线钝化下行，有反抽ma5的需求；所以昨天白天基本是看反弹的节奏，空单最起码1275开始做才安全。
但是昨天金价却是以另一种方式去完成了这个反弹，晚间12点金价通过基本面影响短时间快速拉高10美元达1282一线后止涨，完成了反抽周线ma5的动作，这种走法不知道大家有没有感觉似曾相识，最近的在10月23号晚间也走出过类似的行情，金价通过消息面影响拉起幅度也是10美元后止涨，调整一段时间后回到原点，这种走势比较典型的特征就是大概率会从哪里来回到哪里去，因此在周线经过反抽之后，今天的主体节奏又回归到空。
激进者现价1278-1279附近做空，止损1283上方，目标1275，1272.
稳健者反弹1280-1281空，止损1284上方，目标1277,1272.
回落至1270-1272区间可反手做多，目标1275,1278.
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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