王垣鑫：现货黄金套路频现
自上周开始现货黄金整体的走势趋于震荡，原因其实在前面的文章当中也有提及过，主要是由于日线级别里面kdj指标快线在0轴下方持续运行，这种情况出现通常以为着就算金价能一直维持弱势继续下行，也只能以震荡的形式去完成，基本上每天都会有反抽ma5的过程，因此是不太看好金价会有大跌的情况。
而且一周以来有一个套路非常明显，一旦晚间美国公布数据特别是大数据例如零售销售耐用品订单这些，属利空但金价跌不动的话，空单建议立刻减仓甚至是离场，因为后面往往会伴随着一波反弹，这个套路在昨晚又出现了一次，因此每天能够选择去做空的好点位并不多，ma5和ma10是必须要去参考的，下方1260一线及1267附近支撑是空单盈利空间所需要参考的因素。
来到本周日线级别kdj已经调整了起来，出现了低位金叉，代表在日线级别后市是允许出现较大幅度下跌，但若想要出现这种情况，日内两个级别1h和4h必须是macd指标同步死叉的状态，但我们看4h的macd指标可以发现最近由于行情过去震荡，4h的macd指标已经被玩坏了，双线不停交叉呈波浪形，4h级别的金叉和死叉并不能长时间维持，其实就是在暗示最近走的是1h级别的行情，所以当1h级别里面macd出现金叉或者死叉其实就已经可以跟随指标方向指引进场，例如现在1h级别macd出现死叉，金价走到ma5下方伴随ma5往下拐头，即可在ma5附近1276附近做空，止损1279上方，目标1273，1270，1267。
另外注意一点，虽然日线级别kdj指标调整了起来，但周线级别kdj快线已经打到了0轴，暗示周线有反抽ma5的可能性，因此若1276空单被扫损后，于周线ma5附近1280-1281区间可再次做空，止损1284上方，目标1276，1272-1273，1270。一旦金价扫损站上1280上方则需先离场观望。不上1280记住后市还是以高空为主，但短时间内大幅下跌可能性较小，留意周五非农。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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