王垣鑫：现货黄金均线定多空
上周五国际现货黄金表现得并不太让人满意，整体以1293-1298区间震荡为主，并未能如愿往上反弹至日线ma5让我们反手做空，隔周金价跳空低开，ma5已经下移至上周五高点1298美元/盎司一线，下方ma60位于1291美元/盎司一线，经过今日开盘及亚盘的考验之后加上欧盘开盘的一轮下冲，仍能有效支撑住金价，今日整体关注点已经很明显了。
由于日线级别macd指标双线依旧是在死叉过程当中，说明目前空头走势为变，kdj指标三线走至低位，经过上周后半段时间的调整过后，快线已经从0轴下方反弹回来，目前呈三线交汇的形态，通常在这种时候是暗示行情进入方向的选择期，一旦今日kdj三线能够形成金叉，则本周可看一轮日线的反弹；但若今日kdj三线不能形成金叉反而向下重新开口，则本周金价仍有一轮下行；因此今日最多明日的走势可视为决定本周金价方向的关键性走势。
而且从均线的压力支撑来讲，目前的金价位于日线ma5的反压与ma60的支撑中间，上方ma5的反压在之前的 文章里头已经不断强调，本轮日线级别下行小趋势什么时候走完，就是以收线上破ma5为基准；至于ma60的支撑可以看到上周四五六三天的日线均在ma60附近受支撑，因此短时间内下行空间能否打开看ma60能否继续生效；短期金价方向看ma5和ma60哪一边先撑不住。
日内1291-1298高抛低吸，若下破则看回1280、1270一线；若上破则先看回ma10处，再看1316附近。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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