羊首领:7月27日每日黄金报
7月27日每日黄金报
市场避险情绪,及鸽派声明助涨黄金
美元从2017年1月见高点后,开始回落,整体给市场提供避险情绪,同时也让金价获得支撑。另外昨晚美联储议息决议后的声明中提及最多是通胀不达标问题,导致市场解读为鸽派观点较强,也为金价带来助涨作用,昨晚黄金狂涨15美元,也预示着本轮上涨后的短期调整已然结束。
今日重点关注消息:
1. 美国6月批发库存月率初值(%)
2. 美国6月耐用品订单月率初值(%)
3. 美国截至7月22日当周初请失业金人数(万)
今日关注消息看点:
1. 美国批发库存月率上月引发行情波动为2美元,晚间对此数据期待不要过高。
2. 上月耐用品订单波动为6美元,并且本次预期值大幅高于前值,估计晚间引发行情较大,需重点关注,而参考近段时间公布的美国经济数据有从新走好迹象,晚间不排除利空黄金可能。
3. 初请是每周例牌,上周公布时波动为接近4美元,引发的波动性也较小,可稍加留意,但没有必要当成焦点。
7月27日现货黄金日线图:均线多头排列,上涨常态延续,今天凌晨金价踩稳10天线,并且得到美联储鸽派声明支撑引发行情上冲,表示本轮超买回调行情暂时结束,应期待更高目标,关注上方下降压力线1283位置,另外需提示,由于周线级别MACD还未形成金叉,暂时不看破1295位置,注意金价到1283上方为追多的危险区域。
7月27日现货黄金4小时图:经凌晨大阳线拉起后,短期均线都开始拐头向上,并且用强硬的手法让MACD硬生生在第13根K线拉回金叉状态,表示下行条件已经不足,原有周五才起涨的思路需改变,顺势按照上涨常态进行操作,另外CCI方面上穿100,显示追多同样为可选方案之一。
7月27日现货黄金1小时图:均线多头排列,上涨常态展开,以短期操作来说,由于CCI回到100以内,不适宜过于激进的追高操作,并且MACD往上斜率角度过大,较为容易引发死叉回调,因此短期较好的操作方式为低多。另外也需说明多为主要操作方式的前提下,追多可能引发短期被套,但只要行情不断运行几乎可以达到80%-90%的获利几率。
每日小Tips:本轮上行的第三次回调结束,新高指向1283,但需切记,不是一步到位的行情,中间仍有所反复。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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