中国大陆股票空单打死不退 恒指跌幅领先全球
关键字:中国股票、恒生中国企业指数
中国大陆股票最近一周以来的反弹之姿击败全球,但空单却依旧打死不退。彭博社28日报导,今(2014)年至3月20日为止,恒生中国企业指数(Hang Seng China Enterprises Index,简称「H股指数」)的跌幅领先全球,但自3月21日起至3月27日为止却强弹了7.3%,涨幅居全球之冠。不过,投资人在H股指数反弹期间却仍旧执意放空iShares 中国大型股ETF (iShares China Large-Cap ETF),Markit数据显示,3月24日当天空单占该档ETF在外流通股数的29%、创历史新高,直到3月26日才回到起涨前的水平。
瑞银(UBS AG)证券策略师Lu Wenjie在接受专访时指出,大陆政府若未作出重大改革,那么本波反弹恐怕会后继无力;市场对大陆的经济状况仍感忧心,在这些因素散去之前,空军不会轻易退场。根据彭博社调查,H股指数的成分股当中,有6成企业的第4季财报皆不如分析师原先预期。iShares 中国大型股ETF是全美最大的大陆股票ETF,嘉实XQ全球赢家系统报价显示,该文件ETF 27日终场上涨0.72%、收35.10美元,创3月6日以来收盘新高。
另外,Google Finance报价也显示,H股指数28日开盘迄今最高一度上涨至10,030.36点,创2月28日以来盘中新高。市场已开始猜测中国人民银行会重新考虑它反对宽松货币政策的立场,转而帮助国家达成7.5%的经济成长目标。汇丰3月24日公布的3月中国制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)降至48.1,低于预期的48.7、并创下八个月新低。
汇丰控股经济学家警告,如果大陆政府不从政策层面作出响应,那么国内生产毛额(GDP)增速恐怕会减缓至7.0%甚至更低。CNBC 3月20日报导,野村证券大陆经济学家Zhiwei Zhang就预估,中国人民银行应该会在第2季将银行法定存款准备金率(reserve requirement ratio, RRR)调降50个基点,并于第3季再次下修50个基点。Zhang表示,以3月19日国务院常务会议的讨论结果来看,北京政府的领袖们对经济成长似乎愈来愈忧心。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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