RBS：G20峰会后 人民币继续贬值
关键字：G20峰会、人民币贬值
苏格兰皇家银行(RBS)外汇分析师Greg Gibbs称，人民币和离岸人民币的贬值引起市场相当大的兴趣。
Greg Gibbs称，人民币的稳步升值和正利差近年来吸引了大量外国投资者的需求，因此人民币头寸被市场长期持有，很少出现贬值的情况。在20国集团(G20)会议之后，本周人民币交易状况格外重要，一些人认为人民币贬值是受G20会议之前中国一系列政治因素影响。
他提出，中国经济增长的放缓和影子银行不确定性所导致的金融系统压力引起中国政府和市场的担忧，这是人民币贬值的另一个原因。中国政府也许采取更宽松的政策立场以应对最近疲软的活动和商业信心。也就是说，自从去年第三季度收紧货币政策以来，中国政府可能小幅调整其货币政策，使其变得更加宽松。
最后，Greg Gibbs指出，中国上周将其1至10年期利率调整至去年12月中旬以来低点，这对商品货币和风险偏好来说是一把双刃剑。一方面，这可能更清晰地反映出中国经济增长更趋疲软；另一方面，这暗示中国正在采取行动支撑经济增长。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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