美国2014年1月消费者信心指数下滑 低于预估
关键字：美国2014年1月消费者信心指数
路透社/密歇根大学17日公布，1月消费者信心指数初值意外自前月的82.5下滑至80.4，低于经济学家预估的83.5。
路透社报导，密大信心调查首席经济学家Richard Curtin指出，高所得家庭持续受惠于股市、房市的回升，相较之下，中低收入家庭对于就业与薪资停滞不前似乎感到忧虑，且对于长期经济改善也不抱太大期待。
现况分项指数自前月的98.6下滑至95.2点。消费者现况分项指数通常与股市、就业市场具有高度关联性，也反映出美国众对自身财务状况与是否进行大额采购的看法。
对于未来6个月景气看法的消费者期望指数，自前月的72.1下滑至70.9；一年期通膨率预估持平于3%；5至10年期通膨率预期自2.7%上升至2.9%。
密大消费者信心指数自1978年公布迄今，美国共计历经5次衰退，经济萎缩期间信心指数平均值为69.3。最近一次经济衰退为期18个月并于2009年6月结束，期间指数平均为64.2，而此前5年指数平均值为89。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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