美联储预计年底前启动减码，美元下跌黄金飙升
周三(10月13日)美元指数跌0.51%至94.04，创近二个月来最大跌幅，美联储会议纪要显示官员们普遍同意在11月中旬或12月中旬开始缩减资产购买规模。黄金期货价格收高2%，创一个多月来的最高收盘价，美国9月CPI报告公布后，美元与美债收益率走软，推动金价上涨。美油小幅下跌，但仍保持在80美元关口上方，市场担心原油需求增长将放缓。
美联储会议纪要披露潜在的减码QE时间线
美联储会议纪要：FOMC可能会在2021年11月中期或12月中期启动Taper，到2022年年中或稍晚可能会结束渐进式地Taper的过程。部分联储官员认为，债券购买行动正在加重金融风险。部分与会者提出了在明年年底前开始提高利率目标范围的可能性。美联储工作人员们上调美国通胀预期，仍然认为通胀上升现象是暂时性的。一些与会者认为，2022年通胀可能会继续上升，并存在上行风险。
美9月cpi涨幅放缓
美国9月CPI同比上涨5.4%，超市场预期5.3%，连续第5个月同比增长超过5%，为2008年7月以来最高水平。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格，美国9月核心CPI涨幅有所放缓，同比上涨4%，符合预期。市场分析认为，美国9月CPI升幅超出预期，突显出经济中通胀压力持续存在。航运挑战、材料短缺、大宗商品价格高企以及工资上涨等因素共同推高了生产商的成本。许多生产商正将这些成本转嫁给消费者，这导致了通胀持续时间比许多经济学家最初预期更持久。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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