美联储官员称缩减计划未变，金价下行压力不小
周三（10月13日）亚洲时段，现货黄金持稳于1760附近。周二（10月12日）金价小幅上涨，美国8月职位空缺有所下降，且美股集体小幅下跌支撑了金价，但美元触及一年最高限制了金价的涨幅，美联储官员们对11月缩减购债的肯定也令后市金价涨势不容乐观。
IMF小幅下调2021年全球增长预测
国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二下调了美国和其他主要工业化大国的增长前景，并表示持续的供应链中断和物价压力阻碍了全球经济从新冠疫情中的复苏。
IMF的《世界经济展望》将2021年全球增长率预测从7月时的6.0%下调至5.9%，并维持2022年增长率预测在4.9%不变。
美国在这些影响中首当其冲，IMF将其2021年美国经济增长率预测从7月预估的7.0%整整下调了一个百分点，降至6.0%–7月的预测增速被视为1984年以来最强劲速度。
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IMF表示，美国经济增长可能会进一步萎缩，因为它的预测假设美国国会将批准总统拜登提出的10年四万亿美元基建和社会支出计划。议员们现在正试图就一个规模较小的方案达成共识，而IMF表示，大幅缩小方案规模将削弱美国及其贸易伙伴的增长前景。
8月职位空缺减少65.9万
美国8月自愿辞职人数激升至创纪录高点，而招聘人数则出现八个月来最大降幅，突显出企业在试图填补数百万职位空缺时面临的困难。
美国劳工部周二公布的月度职位空缺和人员流动调查报告(JOLTS)显示，8月最后一天，衡量劳动力需求的职位空缺减少了65.9万，至1040万。这是美国经济正与短缺作斗争的又一反映。短缺正推高通胀，抑制增长。上周五公布的数据显示，美国9月新增就业岗位为九个月来最低。
8月辞职人数增加了大约24.2万人，总数达到430万人，创历史新高。辞职率从7月的2.7%上升到8月的2.9%，创历史新高。
招聘减少43.9万，至630万。招聘率从7月的4.6%下降到4.3%。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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