美元成终极避风港,金价难逃横盘魔咒?
周二(10月12日)亚洲时段,现货黄金小幅下跌,交投于1752附近,周一(10月11日)金价震荡下跌,市场押注美联储不会推迟缩减刺激举措的计划,但滞胀预期限制了跌幅。日内主要关注美国8月JOLTs职位空缺和美联储官员讲话。
比特币突破57000美元,交易员试图推动其重返纪录高位
比特币自5月份以来首次升逾57000美元,投机客正押注这个最大的加密货币将重新测试今年早些时候触及的纪录高位。
与过去的上涨行情一样,投资者就本轮涨势给出了五花八门的理由,包括对美国和中国监管努力的担忧缓解、以及对美国证券交易委员会可能批准一个比特币交易所交易基金的乐观情绪重燃等。
观察价格走势图的分析师则表示,6万美元是下一个阻力位,不过比特币的相对强弱指标(RSI)高于70表明其目前处于超买区域。
避险买盘推动美元上涨,兑日元触及近三年最高
美元周一上涨,能源价格飙升促使投资者寻求避险资产,美元兑日元触及近三年高位,市场预期美联储将于下月宣布缩减债券购买规模。
在全球需求反弹的推动下,油价周一升至多年高位。对价格上涨可能加剧全球供应链积压的担忧导致华尔街回吐早盘涨幅。
大田环球分析师表示:“避险情绪在某种程度上正在发挥作用,我们短期内不会就全球能源危机或通胀压力得到任何答案,这些风险可能会让很多投资者在短期内继续专注于避险。”
对利差特别敏感的日元自2018年12月以来首次触及113关口。
西班牙对外银行(BBVA)外汇策略主管Roberto Cobo Garcia表示,由于日本政府公债收益率被牢牢锚定,且日本央行维持政策不变,对美联储很快宣布缩减量化宽松的预期应该会推高美债收益率,料推动美元兑日元进入更高的区间。
BK Asset Management董事总经理Kathy Lien称,“投资者需要稍加小心,如果本周通胀和消费者支出数据不及预期,美元将很难守住涨幅。”
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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