美元指数下跌，金价有望大涨
周二（10月5日）亚洲时段，现货黄金交投于1767附近。周一（10月4日）金价小幅上涨，升至逾一周高位，美元走软和股市的避险情绪提振了对黄金的需求，但工厂订单增速加快以及对美联储即将缩减购债的预期限制了金价的涨幅。
【美元下跌，交易员关注将于周五公布的美国就业报告】
美元兑一篮子货币周一录得三连跌，从上周触及的一年高位回落，交易员关注将于本周五公布的美国就业数据，以寻找美联储下一步行动的线索。
由于中国大陆市场因国庆假期休市至周四，韩国股市周一也休市，投资者的注意力牢牢集中在即将公布的美国数据上。
周五的美国就业数据预计将显示就业市场持续改善，预计9月将增加48.8万个就业岗位，这足以促使美联储在年底前开始缩减刺激力度。
美联储已暗示最早可能在11月开始减少月度购债规模，但交易员担心，新增就业岗位大幅减少可能会让联储推迟计划。
B表示，“如果增幅在30万左右，美联储会做出负面反应吗？很可能不会。在缩减势头已经非常强的情况下，若这一近期波动很大的数据仅略低于预期，美联储的立场很难出现180度大转弯。”
他称，“如果我们看到一些更极端的情况，比如非农就业岗位减少，那又另当别论，美联储可能至少会被迫暂停。”
【美国上周平均日增新冠肺炎死亡病例超1800例】
综合约翰斯·霍普金斯大学与美国卫生与公共服务部的统计数据，在刚刚过去的一周，美国平均日增新冠肺炎死亡病例依然超过1800例，继续维持高位；平均日增确诊病例107312例，依然全球居首，但已降至近两个月来新低；现存住院治疗的新冠肺炎病患71325人，比再之前一周减少了12.7%。
尽管新增确诊病例及住院治疗病患人数都出现了下降，但一些美国专家发出警告称，美国疫情反反复复，还远没有结束。z
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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