关注美ADP就业,金价可能大跌!
周三(10月6日)亚洲时段,现货黄金持稳于1758附近。周二(10月5日)金价小幅下跌,美国数据提振对经济复苏的乐观预期,导致美债收益率走高。美国9月份服务业扩张速度快于预期,这可能促使美联储按计划宣布减码购债,10年期美债收益率升至1.53%上方,美元也反弹,从而打压黄金走势。
日内重点关注美国9月ADP就业人数,数据料好于前值,利空金价。
基本面利空
【美国9月服务业活动意外增长】
美国9月服务业活动小幅增加,但随着疫情持续,投入持续短缺以及由此导致的高价格令增长受抑。
美国供应管理协会(ISM)周二表示,劳动力资源、物流和材料方面的持续挑战正在影响供应的连续性。
牛津经济研究院首席美国经济学家Oren Klachkin表示,稳健的需求和对疫情不那么担忧的态度将使服务业保持增长,但这种扩张将因供应方满足需求的能力有限而受到限制。
【在大型科技股反弹的带动下大涨,市场聚焦非农就业数据】
美股周二大幅收高,因微软和苹果引领成长型股强劲反弹,投资者等待本周稍晚公布的美国月度就业数据,该数据可能影响美联储何时缩减货币刺激措施的决定。
标普500指数涨1.05%,道指涨0.92%,纳指涨1.25%,苹果、微软、亚马逊和Alphabet四家市值最大公司涨幅均超过1%,前一日成长股遭抛售。
【美元小升徘徊在一年高位附近,聚焦周五美国非农就业报告】
美元周二小幅走高,徘徊在上周触及的一年高位附近,因交易商在本周末公布关键就业报告前仍持谨慎态度,该报告可能为美联储下一步行动提供线索。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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