美債收益率攀升金價持穩，布油逼近80美元
周一(9月27日)美元小幅上漲，10年期美債收益率突破1.50%關口，創近三個月新高。現貨黃金衝高回落，盤中一度漲超10美元，尾盤漲幅基本全部回吐；投資者繼續對美聯儲發出的即將縮減購債規模信號做出反應。美油漲逾2%，收于每桶75.45美元，創2018年10月以來即期合約最高收盤價。天然氣飙升13%至每百萬英熱單位5.896美元，創2014年2月以來新高。
鮑威爾講稿：就業市場仍未實現目標，供應鏈問題推高物價
美聯儲主席鮑威爾在為國會參議院銀行委員會準備的講稿中表示：美聯儲將竭盡所能地支持經濟複蘇。通脹高企，恐將維持一段時間，然後趨于溫和。瓶頸問題所造成的影響比我們原來所預料的更加深遠，也更加頑固。美聯儲已于8月31日完成二級市場公司信用貸款便利工具（SCCF）的出售工作。美國經濟的演變路徑將取決于新冠肺炎疫情，前景仍然面臨諸多風險。
兩名聯儲官員表示通脹穩定，預計2023年加息
紐約聯儲主席威廉姆斯表示，更長周期的美國通脹預期相對穩定，通脹料將在2022年回落至2%附近，朝著充分就業目標繼續取得進展，但在充分就業方面還有很長的路要走，可能很快就會滿足美聯儲減碼QE的條件。複蘇體現出穩固的動能，但我們需要耐心。
芝加哥聯儲主席埃文斯預計FOMC將在2023年開始加息。美聯儲可能會在2023年加息一次，之後“緩慢地加息”。到2021年年底，美國失業率料將回落至5.0%下方。由于供應效應的緣故，美國2022年通脹可能會高于我之前的預估。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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