经济前景忧虑重燃，美元触及九个月高位
周四(8月19日)美元升至去年11月以来最高水平，因交易员权衡德尔塔毒株对全球经济复苏的影响以及更鹰派美联储的迹象；随着油价下跌和股市波动，挪威克朗在G-10货币中表现最差。金价走低，跌至1780关口附近，美元走强和一些乐观的经济数据抑制了对贵金属的避险需求。油价第六个交易日下跌，收于5月以来的最低水平，新冠变异毒株的加速传播使市场担忧需求前景，美元上涨令油价进一步承压。
美国至8月14日当周初请失业金人数录得34.8万人，创2020年3月14日当周以来最小增幅
美国上周初请失业金人数降至17个月来最低水平，表明8月就业岗位数料将再次录得强劲增长，但新冠肺炎确诊病例激增给劳动力市场复苏带来风险。?Naval Federal Credit Union企业经济学家Robert Frick表示，我们可以推断，8月招聘情况依然强劲，表明该月的就业报告将是健康的。此外，下周公布的续请失业人数将为8月的招聘情况提供更多线索。
美联储官员暗示变体病毒是决定减码QE的关键
美国明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡利表示，就美联储后续讨论何时开始开始减码QE而言，新冠肺炎德尔塔变异毒株在美国的传播情况“将显得尤为重要”。如果该毒株继续在美国大范围传播，继续迫使美国民众对重返就业市场持谨慎态度、或者如果其造成（企业）招聘放缓，至少我本人会反思先前“是时候减码QE了”的想法，届时，FOMC应当略微更加保持耐心。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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