美債收益再度上漲，黃金回吐漲幅
關鍵字：美債收益再度上漲
3月16日，現貨黃金在關口附近徘徊，由於美元指數走強，美債收益率再度攀升的原因，現貨黃金上漲受到一定的牽制，而投資者則期待從美聯儲這兩天的政策會議中找到更多的市場指引。
最大的風險在於美聯儲，如果美聯儲不干預債市，你可能會看到黃金有一天出現恐慌性拋售。未來幾個月黃金可能會隨著美債收益率上升而上漲，因為收益率接近2%可能會打擊持續的股市買盤，恢復黃金作為避險資產的吸引力。
週二公佈的經濟數據顯示美國2月零售銷售下降3%，此外，2月工業產出同樣下降2.2%；數據公佈後金價也有所上漲。Wolfpack Capital首席投資官Jeff Wright表示，2月零售銷售、上周的就業數據、國債收益率數據與美元水準等數據描述的通脹狀況相互矛盾，這令金價無所適從。
美國聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)為期兩天的會議將於週三結束，預計美聯儲將重申把利率維持在近零水準，直到經濟實現充分就業。
鑒於1.9萬億美元刺激計畫以及防疫封鎖的逐步解除，交易員們預測經濟復蘇將迫使美聯儲提前動手。歐洲美元合約顯示，到2022年12月，美聯儲收緊政策的概率大約為75%。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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