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美联储短期内不会加息,推动美债收益率

关键词:美联储短期内不会加息

1月14日,现货黄金位置稳定变化,但早前鲍威尔表示加息不会很快到来,并反驳了美联储可能开始缩减债券购买规模的建议,受此信息影响,现货黄金曾出现较大涨幅。但拜登即将公布新一轮计划,让美债收益率再度走高。

美联储主席鲍威尔表示,如果没有看到令人不安的通胀和失衡,美联储将不会加息。FOMC加息时间点“不会很快到来”。如果美国通胀上升方式不受欢迎,美联储可以通过若干政策工具来应对。美联储关于利率和资产购买的前瞻指引以政策的效果为依据。现在还不是谈论美联储退出(资产购买和低利率政策)的时候。

鲍威尔称,缩减资产购买所引发的市场恐慌凸显出投资者对债券购买的敏感性。我们知道,美联储需要非常谨慎地(向外界)沟通政策,美联储的政策将非常透明。我们将让整个世界明显地提前知道美联储关于缩减购债力度的意图。再次强调核心PCE的重要性。短期内可能会看到美国物价上扬,但一次性的物价上涨并不意味着持续的通胀。
美联储在实现充分就业方面还有很长的路要走。

现货黄金几乎回吐日内全部涨幅,在1847美元附近窄幅震荡,纽约时报报道,预计拜登即将公布新一轮刺激计划,规模将达1.9万亿美元。消息公布后,10年期美债收益率涨超5个基点,升至1.136%,这令金价承压。

市场正等待美国当选总统拜登公布其刺激计划的细节。分析师表示,黄金正在盘整,民主党在参议院取得多数席位让人们相信,财政刺激计划更容易付诸实施,这不仅会提振经济,还给美联储加息的理由。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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