美元涨势明显，黄金出现明显下滑
关键词：美元涨势明显
1月15日，现货黄金受到重挫，一度下跌1.25%，为上周的最大跌幅，而美元则继续保持上涨趋势，市场投资资金持续流出黄金ETF，降低了黄金作为通常工具的吸引力。市场目前更看好美元。
分析师称，美联储主席鲍威尔发表了鸽派言论后，黄金交易活跃，但金价仍难以进一步上行，因美元避险需求上升，拜登公布的1.9万亿美元刺激计划的细节也存在不确定性。金价上行受到50日移动均线的限制，即1862美元水平，若下破周四低点1829美元，则可能跌至1月11日的低点1817美元。
数据显示，全球最大黄金ETF—SPDR Gold Trust上一交易日持仓减少10.21吨，01月13日持仓减少10.5吨，最新持仓数量已降至1161吨，较2020年9月下旬减少达117.8吨。
现货金价在年内将呈现先涨后跌局面，一方面隔夜经鲍威尔讲话近一步确认的美联储宽松政策仍将在线前景，以及当前全球疫情依旧肆虐的大背景，仍会在上半年推动金价重新上行，但更长远来看，美国新政府各项财政政策的一一落实，美债收益率的进一步回升，以及全球普及接种疫苗的前景，将渐渐对金价构成更重的阻力，并推动资金更多流向高风险资产资产市场。该行预计，现货金价在3月将回升至1950美元，6月进一步升至2100美元的峰值，此后在9月和12月则将缓步回落至2000美元和1900美元。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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