美元反弹，市场情绪乐观
关键词：市场情绪乐观
12月28日，现货黄金处于弱势震荡走势，虽然早盘黄金出现明显涨幅，但美国现任总统特朗普签署了市场期待已久的援助法案后，为市场带来一定支撑，美股三大指数刷新高位，削弱黄金避险需求，美元出现反弹。
分析师表示，我们正在假日期间。实际上，现在不需要太多的刺激因素就能推动市场走势，也许这只是对美元走势做出的反应。最终，金价将继续走高。
在有报道称美国当选总统拜登将根据《国防生产法案》来增加新冠疫苗生产之后，道琼斯工业指数触及日内高点；并购相关新闻也提振了风险偏好，美股三大指数盘中全部刷新历史新高，德国DAX指数收盘创历史新高。
美元指数小幅上涨，受到定盘相关需求的提振，市场流动性低下；之前在特朗普签署大流行病纾困法案后，该指数一度下跌0.3%，英镑大跌、新兴市场货币疲软，提振了美元，这令金价承压。
由于疫苗研发继续加速，预计明年第一季度金价的看涨信心将出现犹豫。但从第二季度开始，金价料将交投在在2000美元上方，因随着人们接种疫苗，市场将注意力转移到流动性过剩上。明年主要经济体（尤其是美国和欧盟）持续的财政和货币支持，应该会让金价受益。尽管不断上升的风险情绪可能会阻碍黄金作为避险资产的吸引力，但美元疲软、低收益率和通胀预期上升的三重因素应该会继续推动金价走高。预计明年金价将继续上涨，从第二季度到第四季度金价将交投在2000美元/盎司上方。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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